What the pattern suggests
The one-mile sample shows a slight advantage to low-numbered stalls, but the effect is much weaker than at the shorter distances. Winners are still distributed broadly enough to show that horses can succeed from across the draw.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the draw.
The historical source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stall 1 is positioned on the inside.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 111 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | 11 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 11 | 1111 | 111 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 1 11 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 11 | 11 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 |
|
9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||
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Conclusions
Their is a slight bias favouring low drawn runners, but the stats suggest that realistically horses can win from any stall.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a draw bias over 1 mile at Kempton on the all-weather track?
There is a slight low-draw advantage over one mile, but the historical figures show that horses can win from any stall.
Should the draw be used on its own?
No. Draw should be assessed alongside pace, field size, race shape and current track conditions.