What the pattern suggests
The seven-furlong sample again favours low-numbered stalls. The effect appears strongest in larger fields, with the two stalls nearest the rail accounting for a particularly high share of winners.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the draw.
The historical source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stall 1 is positioned on the inside.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||
| 13 | 1111 | 1111 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | 111 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||||||||
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Conclusions
Like the 6 Furlong analysis their seems a bias towards those drawn low. As you would expect this bias is particularly large when the field size is large. In particular those horses drawn in the two stalls next to the rail have a large advantage and between them those two stalls account for a third of the winners over 7 furlongs at Kempton.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a draw bias over 7f at Kempton on the all-weather track?
The historical sample suggests a low-draw advantage over seven furlongs, especially in larger fields.
Should the draw be used on its own?
No. Draw should be assessed alongside pace, field size, race shape and current track conditions.