What the pattern suggests
Although the six-furlong course uses the outer loop and is less tight than the five-furlong course, the historical results still show a clear low-draw advantage. The inside stall performed particularly well in the sample.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the draw.
The historical source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stall 1 is positioned on the inside.
Historical winning-stall chart
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11111 | 11 | 1 | 111 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 111 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 1111 | 111 | 1 | 11 | 1111 | 11 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 111111 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 1111 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 111 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
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7 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 5 | |||||||||
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Conclusions
The 6 furlong course at Kempton is on the outer loop so is very different to the 5 furlong course which is on the very tight inner loop. Therefore it is quite surprising that the bias favouring low drawn runners is quite as large as it is, however the facts don't lie and it does seem to be a large advantage to be drawn low over 6 furlongs at Kempton. With the horse drawn in the inside stall winning nearly a third of the races.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a draw bias over 6f at Kempton on the all-weather track?
Yes. The historical six-furlong sample shows a clear advantage to low stalls, particularly the inside stall.
Should the draw be used on its own?
No. Draw should be assessed alongside pace, field size, race shape and current track conditions.