What the pattern suggests
The five-furlong course is extremely tight and the historical sample shows a pronounced advantage to low-numbered stalls. A fast break from an inside draw can be especially valuable because the short straight gives well-paced front-runners less time to be caught.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the draw.
The historical source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stall 1 is positioned on the inside.
Historical winning-stall chart
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 111 | 111 | 1111 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
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3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | |||||||||
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Conclusions
The 5 furlong course at Kempton is probably the tightest 5 furlong course in the country and therefore not surprisingly it is a massive advantage to be drawn low. A lot of the 5 furlong races are won at the start, when a low drawn runner breaks quickly and makes all. With the very short straight it is very hard for front runners who have gone the correct pace to be pegged back.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a draw bias over 5f at Kempton on the all-weather track?
Yes. The historical sample shows a strong advantage to low-numbered stalls over five furlongs at Kempton.
Should the draw be used on its own?
No. Draw should be assessed alongside pace, field size, race shape and current track conditions.