What the pattern suggests
There is no large overall bias in the seven-furlong sample, but the outside stall performed noticeably well and won more often than any other individual stall. That contradicts the idea that being drawn widest is automatically fatal.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the draw.
The historical source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stall 1 is positioned on the inside.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 111 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 11 | x | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 11 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | ||||||||||
Conclusions
There is not a large overall bias, although the outside stall has won twice as many races as any other single stall in this sample. The evidence does not support the claim that a horse drawn widest has no chance.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a draw bias over 7f at Lingfield on the all-weather track?
There is no strong overall bias, although the historical sample contains a notably good record for the outside stall.
Should the draw be used on its own?
No. Draw should be assessed alongside pace, field size, race shape and current track conditions.