What the pattern suggests
The historical chart shows no meaningful overall draw advantage over five furlongs on Lingfield’s all-weather track. In particular, the evidence does not support the common assumption that a wide draw is automatically a major disadvantage.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the draw.
The historical source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024-2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stall 1 is positioned on the inside.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 111 | 1 | 1 | H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||
Conclusions
No particular bias is evident in this sample, despite the frequent belief that horses drawn wide are seriously disadvantaged.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a draw bias over 5f at Lingfield on the all-weather track?
The historical sample does not show a meaningful overall draw bias over five furlongs on Lingfield’s all-weather track.
Should the draw be used on its own?
No. Draw should be assessed alongside pace, field size, race shape and current track conditions.