What the pattern suggests
Unlike the shorter distances, the one-mile sample points towards a modest advantage for higher-numbered stalls. Lower stalls appear to have underperformed relative to the rest of the field.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the draw.
The historical source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stall 1 is positioned on the inside.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
|||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | ||||||||||
Conclusions
Rather surprisingly, the historical sample suggests a slight bias towards higher-drawn runners, with low stalls appearing to be at a disadvantage.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a draw bias over 1 mile at Lingfield on the all-weather track?
The historical sample suggests a slight advantage to higher-numbered stalls over one mile, with low stalls performing less well.
Should the draw be used on its own?
No. Draw should be assessed alongside pace, field size, race shape and current track conditions.