What the pattern suggests
There isn't a great deal of data to go on yet, but early impressions are that any bias is negated over one mile at Newcastle's all-weather course, where horses have plenty of time to obtain track position.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Newcastle's all-weather course are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | |
|||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | x | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
|
2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||
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|
|
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
Not a great deal of data to go on, but early impressions are that any bias is negated over a mile where the horses have plenty of time to obtain track position.