What the pattern suggests
It's still very early days with little data to go on. But at the moment, high draws — particularly very high stalls — do seem to be favoured over 5 furlongs at Newcastle, with 9 of the 21 handicap races so far won by horses drawn in one of the 2 highest stalls.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Newcastle's all-weather course are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | x | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 1 |
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| 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 |
1 |
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| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | |||||||||
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|
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
Obviously still very early days with little data to go on. But at the moment high draws, particularly very high does seem to be favoured over 5 furlongs at Newcastle with so far 9 of the 21 handicap races being won by horses drawn in one of the 2 highest stalls.