What the pattern suggests
Like the 5 furlong results, this is a surprising analysis. It's been thought that low is favoured at six furlongs, but the stats suggest there's actually no bias whatsoever over this trip at Chelmsford City. Over 6 furlongs there is plenty of time before the bend for horses to sort themselves out, and the bends here aren't as tight as those you get at some of the all-weather courses.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Chelmsford City are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 11 | 1111 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | 1 11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 111 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 111 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 |
3 | 5 | 8 |
4 | 3 |
|
3 |
4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
Like the 5 Furlong results another very surprising analysis. It has been though that low is favoured at 6 furlongs, however this suggests that it is actually their is no bias whatsoever over 6 furlongs at Chelmsford City Racecourse. Over 6 furlongs there is plenty of time before the bend for horses to sort themselves out and then the bends are not the tight bends that you get at some of the all weather courses.