What the pattern suggests
At first glance, no bias seems prevalent at York over five furlongs. Look a bit deeper, though, and when there are a large number of runners, low is definitely favoured. Conversely, when it is soft, it appears that a high draw is slightly favoured.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at York are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | x | 1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 111 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
At first glance no bias seems prevalant at York over 5 furlongs, although look a bit deeper and when their are a large number of runners low is definitely favoured. But conversely when it is soft it appears that a high draw is slightly favoured.