What the pattern suggests
The mile course at Nottingham is run around one turn, as opposed to the straight 5 and 6 furlong races. Being drawn low means being on the inside, which gives a slight advantage. However, the advantage isn't huge, as Nottingham is a wide course with sweeping bends and is generally very fair.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Nottingham are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 11111 | 1 |
1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 11 | 1 |
1 |
1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
|||||||||||||||
| 10 | 111 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
1 | 1 |
11 | 1 |
||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 1 | 1 1 |
11 | 1 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
11 | 1 | 1 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 11 | 1 | 1 |
||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 11 | 11 | 1 |
1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |||||||||
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|
|
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
The mile course at Nottingham is run around one turn as opposed to the straight 5 and 6 furlong races. Being drawn low is on the inside so gives a slight advantage, however the advantage isn't huge as Nottingham racecourse is a wide course with sweeping bends, and very fair.