Best place to be drawnSlight high bias
Race type3yo+ handicaps
Sample period2024–2025
Key influenceSmaller fields (12 or fewer)
What the pattern suggests
There appears to be a slight bias favouring high-drawn runners at Newbury over the straight mile, especially when there are 12 or fewer runners. However, this is based on limited data.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
Good or fasterGood to soft or softer
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Newbury are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | x | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 11 |
11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 |
1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 11 |
1 | 1 | 1 |
1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |||||||||
|
12 |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
There appears to be a slight bias favouring high drawn runners at Newbury over the straight mile, especially when their are 12 or less runners. However this is based on limited data.
Related Newbury analysis
Advertisement