What the pattern suggests
There appears to be a distinct advantage to low numbers over a mile at Hamilton. This makes sense, as the mile course is a right-handed dog-leg and horses drawn low are on the inside of this turn.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: From 30 March 2011, stall numbering on right-handed courses changed so that stall 1 is always on the inside. Earlier Hamilton results in the chart have been converted to the modern numbering convention.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1111 | 11111 |
1111 | 1 |
1
|
1 | 1 |
|||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | x | 1 | 1111 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | |
1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
It appears that their is a distinct advantage to low numbers. This would make sense as the mile at Hamilton is a right handed dog leg and the horses drawn low would be on the inside of this.