What the pattern suggests
The results over six furlongs at Hamilton don't quite match the 5 furlong picture. There appears to be a slight advantage to being drawn low, although horses can win from any draw.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: From 30 March 2011, stall numbering on right-handed courses changed so that stall 1 is always on the inside. Earlier Hamilton results in the chart have been converted to the modern numbering convention.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11111 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 11 | |
111 | 11 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 11 | 11 |
1 | 1 | 11 | 11 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 11111111 |
1 |
1 | 1111 |
1111 | 111 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | |
1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
|
8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
Surprisingly the results of this analysis do not quite match the 5 Furlong results. Over 6 furlongs at Hamilton there appears to be a slight advantage to being drawn low, although horses can win from any draw.