What the pattern suggests
The 5 furlong races at Catterick are run around a slight left-handed dog-leg, and the stats suggest that being drawn low is slightly favoured. The bias isn't massive, but when the ground is soft, the low-draw advantage appears to be a bit larger.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Catterick are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | x | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
|||||||||||||||
| 10 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 111 | 111 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 111 |
11 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
|
3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 7 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
The 5 furlong races at Catterick are run around a slight left handed dog leg, and the stats suggest that being low is slightly favoured. But the bias isn't massive. When the ground is soft then the low drawn bias is perhaps a bit larger.