Carlisle One Mile Draw Bias and Betting Guide | Stall Advantage & Historical Pattern

Best place to be drawnMixed / modest bias

Race type3yo+ races

SampleHistorical results

Key influencePace & going

What the pattern suggests

Like the 7 furlong results, this is almost perfectly symmetrical with no draw bias whatsoever.

How to read the chart

Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.

Good or faster Good to soft or softer

The source chart covers horses aged three and older.

Stall-numbering note: From 30 March 2011, stall numbering on right-handed courses changed so that stall 1 is always on the inside. Earlier results in the source chart have been plotted using the modern convention for consistency.

Historical winning-stall chart

		WINNING STALL NUMBER
		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
No of R U N N E R S	8		11
	9		x			1										3yr olds and older H'caps Only 2003 - 2025
	10	1			1		1		1
	11	1					1			1
	12			1	11	11	1	1
	13									1	1			1
	14			1										1	11
	15			1					1						1	11
	16	11	1	11			11
	17		1			11		1			1		1				1
	18		1								1								1
	19
	20					1
		2	3	4	3	2	2	<--Good or better -->								3	2	1	2	3	5
		16										16

How to use the bias

Pace: consider where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can obtain a favourable position.
Going: assess whether one side of the course is riding faster on the day.
Field size: draw effects can become more important when runners are spread across a larger field.
Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can change the effective bias.

Conclusion