What the pattern suggests
It is thought that over a mile low numbers are favoured due to the start being on a left-handed chute, however the stats don't back this up, and if anything high-drawn runners are favoured. This is the same trend as we have seen for all of the race distances at Bath racecourse.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Bath are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | x | 11 | 1 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1111 | 11 | 1111 | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | ||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
It is thought that over a mile low numbers are favoured due to the start being on a left-handed chute, however the stats don't back this up, and if anything high-drawn runners are favoured. This is the same trend as we have seen for all of the race distances at Bath racecourse.