Best place to be drawnNo strong overall bias
Race type3yo+ handicaps
SampleHistorical results
Key influencePace & going
What the pattern suggests
The historical evidence over one mile at Ayr does not show a meaningful draw bias. Stall position should therefore be treated as a secondary factor behind pace, going and the individual runner's race position.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
Good or faster
Good to soft or softer
The source chart covers horses aged three and older.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 111 | 11 | 111 | 111 | 1 | 11 | 11111 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 111 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 111 | 1 | 111 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 111 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 111 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
|
8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and where the field may congregate.
- Going: consider whether one strip of the course is riding faster than another.
- Field size: draw effects can become more important when runners are spread across a larger field.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
Over a mile at Ayr, there is no draw bias.
Related Ayr analysis
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