What the pattern suggests
The historical evidence shows a very similar pattern to Ayr's five-furlong course. Whether the stalls are positioned high or low, high-drawn runners — racing towards the stands side — have generally been favoured.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older.
Because the starting stalls can be placed on different sides of the straight course, use the chart that matches the stall position in use for the race.
Stalls Positioned High
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | x | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
|||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 111 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
|
2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||||||||
|
|
|
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Stalls Positioned Low
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | x | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2012 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 |
11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | |||||||||
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|
|
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and where the field may congregate.
- Going: consider whether one strip of the course is riding faster than another.
- Field size: draw effects can become more important when runners are spread across a larger field.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
A very similar pattern over 6 furlongs as with 5 furlongs at Ayr, between the two stalls positions high and low. In both cases high drawn runners, which means that they race down the stands side are favoured.